Tax tension rises as regulators tighten their grip and new markets come online.

New levies and sustained duty pressure are reshaping operator economics across key jurisdictions, while fresh US launches and grey-market crackdowns highlight continued legislative recalibration. At the same time, prediction markets are hitting record volumes amid an escalating federal-state jurisdiction battle.

Let’s dive into this week’s Regulation Roundup!

Tax Issues

• South African National Treasury proposes 20% additional tax on online gambling gross revenue
  
  The Free Market Foundation warns the new levy risks driving players to illegal operators and stifling the regulated market in Africa’s fastest-growing iGaming sector.

• Evoke withholds 2026 forecast amid ongoing tax pressure
  
  The William Hill owner reported a 3% Q4 revenue drop and declined to give forward guidance as the 40% remote gaming duty continues to bite.

Legislative Hikes

• Legal online casinos set to launch in Maine February 2026
  
  Governor Janet Mills allowed LD 1164 to become law without signature, clearing the final hurdle for regulated iGaming in the state.

• Indiana sweepstakes casino ban advances through conference committee
  
  HB 1052 passed and now heads to both chambers for final approval, making Indiana the latest state to target gray-market operators.

Enforcement and Compliance

• CFTC poised to back Kalshi in 9th Circuit appeal against Nevada
  
  Federal regulators are preparing an amicus brief supporting event contracts as CFTC-regulated swaps, escalating the federal vs state jurisdictional fight.

• Chicago City Council approves video gambling notification to Illinois Gaming Board
  
  The measure formalises the city’s video gambling legalisation and strengthens state oversight coordination.

Emerging Markets

• Global prediction markets hit record volumes while facing regulatory crossroads
  
  Kalshi and similar platforms continue explosive growth while navigating simultaneous state bans and federal support, shaping the future of event-contract betting worldwide.

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